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Research Article

HIV Treatment as Prevention: Systematic Comparison of Mathematical Models of the Potential Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy on HIV Incidence in South Africa

  • Jeffrey W. Eaton mail,

    jeffrey.eaton@imperial.ac.uk

    Affiliation: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

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  • Leigh F. Johnson,

    Affiliation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

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  • Joshua A. Salomon,

    Affiliation: Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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  • Till Bärnighausen,

    Affiliations: Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Mtubatuba, South Africa

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  • Eran Bendavid,

    Affiliation: Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States of America

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  • Anna Bershteyn,

    Affiliation: Intellectual Ventures Laboratory, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America

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  • David E. Bloom,

    Affiliation: Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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  • Valentina Cambiano,

    Affiliation: Research Department of Infection & Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom

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  • Christophe Fraser,

    Affiliation: Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

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  • Jan A. C. Hontelez,

    Affiliations: Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Mtubatuba, South Africa, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, Netherlands, Department of Primary and Community Care, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Center, Nijmegen, Netherlands

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  • Salal Humair,

    Affiliations: Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, School of Science and Engineering, Lahore University of Management Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan

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  • Daniel J. Klein,

    Affiliation: Intellectual Ventures Laboratory, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America

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  • Elisa F. Long,

    Affiliation: Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America

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  • Andrew N. Phillips,

    Affiliation: Research Department of Infection & Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom

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  • Carel Pretorius,

    Affiliation: Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, United States of America

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  • John Stover,

    Affiliation: Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, United States of America

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  • Edward A. Wenger,

    Affiliation: Intellectual Ventures Laboratory, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America

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  • Brian G. Williams,

    Affiliation: South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, Stellenbosch, South Africa

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  • Timothy B. Hallett

    Affiliation: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

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  • Published: July 10, 2012
  • DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001245
  • Published in PLOS Medicine

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